Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 3.365852 3.735143 4.135513 4.603035 5.135501 5.724804 6.428773
2025-06-01 2.789054 3.273266 3.834923 4.539005 5.404217 6.440699 7.788336
2025-06-08 2.437688 2.978691 3.637867 4.508960 5.643027 7.087804 9.097576
2025-06-15 2.263202 2.859822 3.617365 4.664476 6.097650 8.025420 10.875534
2025-06-22 2.062922 2.677816 3.484992 4.642524 6.294052 8.619727 12.243041
2025-06-29 1.891169 2.512072 3.350841 4.592859 6.431077 9.127941 13.534464
2025-07-06 1.689270 2.285194 3.108799 4.360179 6.268188 9.163288 14.085208
2025-07-13 1.592307 2.195562 3.049545 4.383024 6.482058 9.785285 15.651142
2025-07-20 1.524561 2.141011 3.034081 4.466129 6.791963 10.587041 17.628638
2025-07-27 1.467662 2.096940 3.028730 4.561174 7.126145 11.461504 19.861648
2025-08-03 1.408051 2.043659 3.003849 4.620357 7.403027 12.265035 22.083436
2025-08-10 1.346351 1.982342 2.960881 4.644197 7.618499 12.979916 24.241644
2025-08-17 1.253043 1.867404 2.827426 4.509489 7.548864 13.177433 25.415178
2025-08-24 1.184646 1.787662 2.745211 4.455364 7.618992 13.647510 27.248182
2025-08-31 1.127472 1.722197 2.681509 4.427338 7.732984 14.214470 29.393372
2025-09-07 1.108232 1.717163 2.717715 4.579698 8.204769 15.561829 33.597007
2025-09-14 1.059883 1.660572 2.661906 4.558263 8.332379 16.205573 36.232873
2025-09-21 1.010816 1.599839 2.594779 4.509683 8.399288 16.724900 38.656900
2025-09-28 0.936786 1.492603 2.439669 4.282030 8.075510 16.336691 38.620374
2025-10-05 0.906803 1.459845 2.415016 4.304384 8.278445 17.171803 42.083281
2025-10-12 0.887450 1.444456 2.420424 4.385698 8.615467 18.365543 46.835654
2025-10-19 0.870728 1.432677 2.431441 4.478687 8.987564 19.697221 52.331188
2025-10-26 0.850071 1.412638 2.425684 4.536585 9.286351 20.890015 57.711043